Donald Trump

Will be the first President for whom serving four years in office without being impeached and removed or thrown out in a coup is treated by his fans as some sort of accomplishment.

It would be like if the hero bragged he was gonna go to the city, slaughter the dragon, and rescue the princess. Then, he went down to the city to do it and emerged several days later, wounded and bloody, with no princess. He then declared victory as he made it out of the city alive and called you a shill for asking where the princess was.

Million Dollar Idea

Suppose you’re a greedy college administrator. (But I repeat myself) The dorms are a profit center, at least from the POV on your stakeholders. (The employees.) You want to keep them open, but on the other hand, your employees rather like working from home, and there’s not much point of moving to the dorms if the students are gonna attend lectures in their rooms anyway. Sure, many kids will want to party and be away from Daddy, but Daddy ain’t paying for that. How do you square this circle?

Initially plan to have classes on campus, lure the students into the dorms and wait two weeks for the checks to clear. Then, a case of corona is found on campus. (Who could have predicted that?) So you do what any responsible person would and shut down classes.

There are some things to look at if you suspect your local college did this. Did the standard dorm renting agreements change from last year to enable this strategy? A lot of colleges have a half-and-half model, some classes are gonna be online and some in-person. Are the classes freshmen take disproportionately likely to be in-person?

Clevons Marching On the Linguistic Treadmill

As the Right increasingly abandons the White middle class for the Clevons, the vestiges of the old ideology hang on, with the incoming denizens too stupid to see the incongruity between ideological foundations and the policies being demanded. Case in point is the “Center for American Liberty,” some kind of Right-wing group that is suing the state of California:

Nine California parents are suing the state over a plan announced by Gov. Gavin Newsom last week that would keep most schools closed for the beginning of the coming school year.

{snip}

Dhillon and her nonprofit group Center for American Liberty have also challenged a number of Newsom’s early pandemic restrictions on churches, beaches, protests and other measures.

“I frankly thought we were reaching the end of having to litigate these issues in the courts,” she said.

But the San Francisco attorney and Republican Party official argues her group’s litigation strategy has worked.

“In response to our lawsuits, the Governor of California and the state have, in some cases worked with us, [and] in other cases, unilaterally gone and changed their orders” on churches, protests and certain businesses, Dhillon said.

The lawsuit argues distance learning adversely affects racial minorities, lower-income families, and special needs children.

Christine Ruiz says services for her severely autistic son, including speech and occupational therapy, ended abruptly when schools closed. Her son, identified by his initials, Z.R., is also listed as a plaintiff in the suit.

“Regression in special education students is dangerous and profound when their services are cut off,” Ruiz said, adding that her family has begun paying for private services in the meantime.

When conservatives and libertarians have talked about “liberty,” traditionally they have been referring to negative liberty, the right to be left alone. Those challenging the restrictions on churches, protests, and certain businesses are fighting for negative liberty. In contrast, the demand for schools to be opened is a demand for positive liberty, the right to have something provided by the government. While this is the Left’s conception of liberty, it is jarring to see it coming from an allegedly Right-wing group. But it’s hardly without precedent. The whole word “liberalism” made this same transition long ago, such that it seems no contradiction to hear someone identify as both a liberal and a socialist.

I think for most of the donors to and employees at the “Center for American Liberty,” there is no contradiction. They were raised in the public schools, where the Left’s conception of liberty is what is taught. Liberty means getting what you want. If you want to be left alone, your liberty is violated if they don’t leave you alone. And if you want them to give you something, your liberty is violated if they refuse to give it to you. It’s a juvenile ideology for an increasingly dysfunctional, low-IQ group. To those at the “Center for American Liberty,” there is no contradiction in opposing “socialism,” since they see socialism as the government giving you what you don’t want.

Who will vote Kanye?

[Epistemic status: highly speculative]

The fear from the Democrats and the hope of Republicans is the Kanye will siphon off Black voters from Biden, despite a recent past of mostly Right-wing political activism. It’s telling that many Democrats, who would howl with outrage at any suggestion that Blacks are on average less intelligent than Whites, fear they will behave this way. Will they, assuming he stays to the end?

It should be obvious that most of Kanye’s votes will come from people with two-digit IQs, smarter voters might joke about it and a few might do it, but they’ll be swamped by the morons who actually like the guy. His voters will be disproportionately young, although it’s possible the youngest voters will consider him a boomer-tier has-been. Whether he’s more beloved by young dumb men or young dumb women (he’s married to Kim Kardashian) is unclear to me, as I have not spent enough time reading the ethnological literature.

The key community for Kanye will be young, dumb Whites who don’t like the elites, don’t like Wall Street, Hollywood, or Washington, but also don’t like the cops, the teachers, basically anyone telling them to pull their d*** pants up. They like their weed. They aren’t too happy with the idea of a peaceful, wealthy civilization where everyone wakes up at 8 o’clock, drives no more than 5 mph above the speed limit, doesn’t cheat on their romantic partner, and never sees explosions outside of the professionally-accomplished fireworks show. They cheer for Trump’s Dumb Prole Act, but their enthusiasm deflates the moment they hear the phrase “law and order.” They don’t want law and order, they want excitement and disorder. They want freedumb, it’s far more important to do things their way than it is to do them the right way. They could never sit through a postmodernist lecture, but if you could explain the basic ideas in words they could understand and remove the anti-White stuff, they’d be in much agreement.

Kanye isn’t a perfect choice for them, since he has embraced many of the same boomer ideas they despise in Trump. Still, that conversion is recent, the young dumb White has a vague sense that eventually he, too, will grow out of the rebel stage, maybe sometime in his 30s, so it doesn’t particularly grate on him. Trump, despite all the sexual adventures, is much more of a lame boomer in their minds, he’s never tried alcohol or drugs and has spent most of his life alternating between the desk and the golf course. While Kanye is on the sidelines, Trump has been President for four years, and in the mind of the young dumb white that means he is in some way responsible for the fact that his weed got seized. (The young dumb White, needless to say, does not differentiate between state and federal law enforcement.)

Most of the above two paragraphs could also be said for young dumb Blacks, but there is a countervailing factor, a stronger sense of communal identity they share with smarter Blacks. This allows the young dumb Black to blame his frustrations on the White power structure. Even if the cop who seized his weed is Black, he can tell himself the man’s only a servant of the White power structure. In contrast, while the young dumb White understands that the coastal elites hate him, he really can’t blame them for the behavior of the cops in Nowheresville, Kansas.

I may need a new host

One of my largest sources of traffic has been the Unz Review, but WordPress is now telling me I’ve gotten no referrals from UR, ever. The same thing happened to Lion of the Blogosphere. This has no real negative effect on me but may presage an increase in censoriousness.

In general, WordPress.com is the home of higher-IQ content than Faceberg, Twatter, or other forms of social media, so there’s not as much demand from low-IQ woke Twitter to have it shut things down. In addition, the name confuses people into thinking it’s run by the non-profit WordPress Foundation, which would act to dissuade mob demands as non-profit organizations have a greater ability to say “FU.” The for-profit internet is not working for us, but rest assured that the traitor-in-chief is on it, acting to protect Silly Con Valley from Chinese competition even as he whines about being censored.

[EDIT 8/18/2020: The referrals from Unz now show up.]

My fellow coronahawks, can we please pick our battles well?

In Sweden, a grand total of 1 child under age 9 has died of corona. Assuming an infection rate of 7.5%,(the rate for ages 0-19) that would translate to 10 deaths if the infection rate increased to 75%. Given the U.S. population is 32 times the Swedish one, this translates to 320 deaths, though one must consider that many of those infections and deaths would occur regardless of whether the schools are open. So the real value is more like 80 deaths, though the 1 death in Sweden number may be an anomaly. Assume there “should be” five deaths and the number goes to 400. It’s no exaggeration to say that more kids under age 9 will die on their way to school in car crashes than from corona they catch at school.

So why should schools be shut down if bars, indoor restaurants, and hair salons are open? Why should they be shut down if daycare centers are gonna be open? A lot of coronahawks are not thinking this through, they aren’t considering what would happen to those kids if the schools were closed. Some would stay home, but others would be sent to daycare, where they’d be in the same situation and that’s one reason why, as I said, they should be expected to get corona regardless. It’s true that education is to a large extent free daycare, but taxpayer funding of free daycare is better than taxpayer funding of free daycare … and no one getting free daycare.

To answer my question: teachers have unions, daycare workers don’t. Similar to other sectors, many of the teachers want to get paid without working, unlike most sectors, they have a voice that can loudly demand that be put into practice.

In a rational society, we’d have voluntary paid human experimentation, so we could get a bunch of children who already have corona, expose them to adult volunteers, and see how easily it transmits. We’d also be honest enough with ourselves to admit that schooling is more babysitting than education, so we’d replace many of the older, more vulnerable teachers with younger, less vulnerable daycare workers, with the teachers perhaps leading things behind the scenes. And we’d have provocation trials to develop vaccines much more quickly and we’d test variolation as a possible way of achieving herd immunity with minimal deaths.

But we don’t, so the next best thing is to pick our battles well. I am not saying, unequivocally, that we shouldn’t shut down the schools. I’m simply saying there are things that will be both politically easier to achieve and just as effective, and we should do those first. Bars, restaurants, and hairdressers should move to the parking lots or shut themselves down. Churches should do their preaching outside. If it was good enough for Jesus, it should be good enough for our time. Institutions of higher education need to be shut down. Only after those are achieved should we shift focus to shutting down the schools.

Christianity and Hurricane Floyd

On Jun 1, Jesuit Priest James Martin had this to say:

Today, a comment was posted on iSteve:

Because it felt personal, the most violent emotions were aroused. Floyd seemed like a member of one’s private circle: an idealized friend.

This is what happens when you accept George Floyd into your life as your savior and you begin to have a personal relationship with Him.

The statement aroused much laughter, though for different reasons. There are really four ways of interpreting this:

1. “The joke is not funny, the comparison is farcical, Christianity is bad, but the Floyd movement is great!” – Left-wing atheists

2. “The joke is not funny, the comparison is apt, George Floyd is (at least somewhat) comparable to Jesus” – Left-wing Christians.

3. “The joke is funny, as the comparison is farcical, the Floyd movement is a pale imitation of true Christianity” – Right-wing Christians.

4. “The joke is funny, as the comparison is apt, religion and the Floyd movement both tap into human tendencies toward irrationality and self-deception” – Right-wing atheists.

Or, shorter and using Fluctuarius Argenteus’s scheme:

  1. George Floyd is not like Jesus, and that’s awesome!
  2. George Floyd is like Jesus, and that’s awesome!
  3. George Floyd is not like Jesus, and that’s terrible!
  4. George Floyd is like Jesus, and that’s terrible!

Variolation and Sportsball

Sportsball is very important to a lot of dumb proles, to the extent that their day will be ruined if their favorite team loses. It’s got to be a factor in all these demands for re-opening. Sports is the “opiate of the masses” which distracts the proles from political activism. People say that like it’s a bad thing, but I think it’s good. Does anyone think we need more opinions on coronavirus from people who haven’t done any math since they failed high school algebra? I’m no fan of the nrx larpers, but I do think it’s insanity to encourage people who don’t want to pay attention to politics to do so.

So I propose that as part of a general variolation program, all athletes are offered the opportunity to be infected, recover, and then can play in empty stadiums for the rest of the pandemic. That way the dumb proles might spend less time on Facebook demanding everything be reopened.

My Email to Elon Musk

Greetings Elon Musk,

You seek to establish a human colony on Mars by 2040; this is a very ambitious goal with many technical challenges that would need to be overcome. One of the biggest challenges I foresee is not technical but sociological. In the olden days if you could get a group of people to where they could find food, water, and shelter, and the group was large enough so their descendants wouldn’t wind up too inbred, you could count on them to multiply. But now, our fertility rate is hovering around 1.6, and the colonists you’d send would be a highly selected group, educated, industrious, visionary. They’d be around 1.2, their kids would regress back to a mean of around 1.5. Though the colony would be subject to the same process of natural selection as the human species as a whole and would reach 2.1 again eventually, it may hit the limit of viability first. What is your plan to deal with this problem?

The simplest would be to make the colonizing population large enough so it can decline for many generations before natural selection does its job and reverses the decline. But this would require more rockets and more supplies for an (initially) larger colony. Another approach is to try to select the colonists so that they, and their children, have a fertility rate above replacement. The latter point is crucial, because of regression toward the mean the colonists must be way above 2.1 but, crucially, also be qualified to make the trip and productively contribute to the colony.

I propose to offer my services in a plan to solve this problem. I will hire two teams. The first will be a team of geneticists and sample collectors with the job to develop the best polygenic score for fertility ever developed, attempting to sequence as many people as possible. The second will be a team of lobbyists. They are necessary because the problem with heritability estimates is that they only tell you about expected phenotypes in the environment used to estimate them. A gene* which serves to make someone more likely to have kids in our environment might not have done so in the culture and economy of 1900, and might not do so in the cultural and economic environment of 2100. The environment of Mars will be very different from the environment of earth, additionally, Mars will be continually influenced by Earth’s culture.** You could prevent the latter by disabling communications between the planets, but this would make it more difficult for Mars to act as the Earth’s “civilizational backup.” So what we want to do is find those genes that work across a variety of environments, assuming they exist, and use them to construct our polygenic score. Luckily, extensive birth and death records give us the data we need on how many children people had in prior generations and where their DNA still exists. Now, I know you don’t have much respect for the law, but I think I would have an easier time hiring the sample collectors if we could do it legally. Thus, the lobbyists will go to Washington and lobby for a law stating that due to the urgency of establishing the Mars colony, our team will be able to legally collect samples from graveyards. With the resulting polygenic score, you will be able to find the men and women with the “right stuff” to make your vision a sustainable reality.

Now, I did think before I sent this letter that you probably have better things to do than entertain cockamamie ideas that come from random people over the internet. Then I read about your behavior in the Unsworth case, and I realized that, no, you don’t.

*Or rather, the place in the genome correlated with the existence of the gene.

**Now, it may be such that the Martian environment leads to higher fertility and solves our problem for us. But if we’re gonna apply Murphey’s law to the design of the rocket, we should do so to the sociology of the colony too.

Sincerely, Alexander Turok